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National Hunt Chase Arpege D'Alene

National Hunt Chase - 14 Mar 16:50

"2nd in the Petemps Final at the 2016 Cheltenham Festival. Looks ideally suited to this race. He's being targeted at this."

STAKE: 10    TOTAL BETS: 15
26 @

Original Odds
Mon 21st Nov 19:29
15 @

Updated Odds
Fri 27th Jan 12:09
  • This is the National Hunt Chase. A 32 furlong, Listed, Novices Chase for Amateur Riders.
    Arpege D'Alene is a 6 year old gelding, trained by Paul Nicholls.
    I can see plenty of horses near the head of the market that have to be a doubt for this race, many could have other targets at the festival if indeed they turn up at all.
    One horse that's being targeted at this race is Arpege D'Alene, Paul Nicholls stated this in a recent Q&A he did for Betfair.
    Arpege D'Alene is a really nice type and I know connections think highly of him.
    He's already put in many good performances over hurdles that got him up to a lofty mark of 149.
    The pick of his form would be when finishing 2nd in a Grade 2 novices hurdle in November 2015 and when finishing 2nd the the Pertemps Final at the 2016 Cheltenham Festival.
    Both bits of form show this is a classy individual with more than enough ability to land this Listed contest.
    The beauty of this race is that all runners carry the same weight of 11-6, Arpege D'Alene should be one of the best horses in this race yet wont have to give weight away.
    I've gone back and watched every race this horse has ran and every race I come to the same conclusion, the conclusion being that Arpege D'Alene is an out and out stayer.
    It's now obvious why Paul Nicholls put this forward as a target for Arpege D'Alene, he looks the ideal type to go and win it.
    We've already established that this horse is an out and out stayer with the class to win a race of this nature but one piece of form is worth looking in more detail at, that's his 2nd in the Pertemps Final at the 2016 Cheltenham festival.
    Arpege D'Alene spent 80% of that race sat in around 6th-10th place, just off the pace in the chasing pack and travelling well within himself. On the turn for home Join The Clan had tried to boot clear but Arpege D'Alene was having none of it, reeling him in within a matter of strides.
    Going up the Cheltenham straight Arpege D'Alene had just about poked his grey nose in front and approaching the last he had half a length advantage, unfortunately he made a mess of the last and let Mall Dini creep ahead.
    To his credit he battled back all the way to the line but it was too late, his error at the last cost him a win at the Cheltenham Festival. I'm certain he would have won given a good jump at the last.
    If you want to check out the video replay of that race you will see for yourself, here's a link... www.thejockeyclub.co.uk/video/20160317/2582582/15385025.
    When I watch that race I see a National Hunt Chase winner. The way he's able to travel so easily and not even have to be asked to reel in a leader who booted form home was impressive, while he showed stamina in abundance throughout.
    Obviously this is over fences so how's he getting on over the bigger obstacles? Well, so far so good.
    Just the two starts over fences so far. In desperate need of the first he then won next time out, only two runners left in the contest on the run for home, although it was a decent horse and one I tipped in Wotzizname. Once again this horse showed stamina to stick behind the leader,then 150 yards from home he bolted clear with a surprising turn of foot.
    His form over fences so far is nothing noteworthy, all we need to know is that he can jump a fences and he can certainly do that.
    Now if he can go back to Cheltenham for a second year running and put in a similar performance to the one he did last year then he's got to be a key player here.
    He's a key player as we know he travels well, we know he stays, he can jump, has form here at Cheltenham and last time out showed a surprising turn of foot that would have seen him win this race most years.
    I suspect Paul Nicholls will call on the services of Will Biddick to ride which is spot on. Will Biddick has ridden 18 winners under rules. He's also ridden in this race twice before, both for Paul Nicholls. He pulled up on Vivaldi Collonges in 2015 and then finished 5th on Vincente last season.
    I think there's a lot to like about his chances and we're guaranteed a good run for our money with this horse. 25/1 seems a tidy price.
    Bet365 are offering odds of 26.00.

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Bets Placed

Simon
+8,574.16

Simon bet £10.00 on this tip.


Odds: 26.00    
CJ
+2,478.40

CJ bet £5.00 on this tip.


Odds: 26.00    
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