Just recorded my highest ever parkrun finish. 8th place at Uckfield parkrun. Ran an absolute shocker in truth, but I’ll take it. Yeah I realise this isn’t my running coaching site, pbrunner.co.uk for anyone who wants a training plan, but I like to keep you posted with what I’m up to.
I’m excited to be gambling again. I’m not sure how long it will last now that the bookmakers are a complete joke. I cannot think of any other industry where companies can treat their customers with such disrespect and get away with. I think the shit will hit the fan at some stage.
Anyhow, I’ve waffled enough. If you have landed on this page and do want to know who I’ve backed today, then I will now cut to the chase (finally). Kristian Jones has kindly allowed me to share some of his picks on here and from time to time I will do just that.
In fact I wanted to do that yesterday but the price had dropped. Luckily the price has drifted, the bookie I used offered me a price boost and it’s gone from 1.8 – 2.25. Bonus.
The best in question comes from the Premier League evening kick off between Nottingham Forest and Chelsea. Kris has created a humdinger of a betbuilder for this game and he’s saved me the hard work of finding any additional stats with his excellent preview.
Something he offers for all of his tips. Kris has recently changed his strategy to focus on player props and his results have been excellent. April returned a profit over 30pts with a ROI of 24.1%. If you bet just £10 per unit you would have landed over £300 in profit.
“Tell me the BetBuilder”. Soz. So we want Cole Palmer to have Over 0.5 Shots on Target, Conor Gallagher to commit Over 0.5 Fouls and Moises Caicedo to make Over 1.5 Tackles.
Let’s start with Cole Palmer. Well this looks a banker. He’s had a shot on target in his last 11 games. If you were to remove away days at Anfield and the Etihad it’s actually 19 straight matches this part of the bet has landed.
Caicedo loves a tackle. After all that’s what Chelsea paid £100 million for right. He’s had 2 or more tackles in his last 7 matches and 14 of his last 15 games. This part of the BetBuilder also landed in each of the last 8 away games and 10 of the last 11 on the road.
So the Conor Gallagher part of the bet must be the likely issue right? Not a chance. He’s committed 1 or more fouls in 34 of his last 37 matches, including 16 of his last 17.
The only one which failed was against Man City and Wembley where he probably couldn’t get close enough to commit a foul.
Some brilliant insight here from Kris and the only thing I’m disappointed with is that I don’t have more in my pot to bet more. 365 offering the best odds on this one. Good Luck.
Bet: Nottm Forest v Chelsea BetBuilder – Palmer Over 0.5 Shots on Target, Gallagher Over 0.5 Fouls Committed, Caicedo Over 1.5 Tackles.
FEATURED IMAGE “Meadow Lane (left) and the City Ground (right), the two closest grounds in English football.” by Arran Bee is licensed under CC BY 2.0
