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Suljovic v Campbell Over 5.5 180s

PDC World Championship

Following a free tip here from Anon Darts Bets. Now he uses a statistical model which prices up the 180 markets then his tips will be selected when the bookmakers offer bigger odds than his model.

As a result we don’t get any stats here, but the only real stats we need are his profit/loss. He’s made a profit 17 months on the spin and has an overall ROI of 15%.

His model clearly works. It priced this selection up at 1.55, we can get 1.9. He’s recommended 2pts stake and these are the free tips I’ll be interested in because it means the value is higher.

It’s just 1pt from me as the profit has dropped of late so I need to rebuild that before getting more aggressive with my staking plan. Dee is offering the best odds.

1pt – Over 5.5 180s Suljovic v Campbell – 1.9

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anondartsbets

Anon Darts Bets

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Rydz Under 43.5 Checkout Percentage

Following the excellent Sean Rafferty for this one. I’ve done well on his “Average” tips, so this one appeals too. Plus he’s recommended 6 units to his followers, which suggests he is very confident this will land.

He’s not shared any stats but I’ve taken a quick peek and Rydz is checking out at below 38% for the season. Obviously he’s raised his game massively for this event so far, but if expected, he outscores his opponent here, he might get plenty of darts and doubles which could help this bet.

2pts – Rydz Under 43.5% Checkout Percentage – 1.8 @ Live Score Bet

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Watford/Draw & OVer 1.5 Vata Shots v Cardiff

Sam Ingram is on a roll. If I’m looking at his summary on Telegram correctly, every single tip he has posted this week has won. 7 on the spin. Perhaps I’m too late to the party?

But this looks a Cleverly (pardon the pun) wager. Under their new boss, Watford are unbeaten in their last 17 home games, so that takes care of that part of the double.

With Baah suspended, Vata should come into the starting line up. He’s had 4 goal involvements in his last 4 matches. He’s had 2+ shots in 5 of his last 7 appearances despite playing only 45 minutes or less.

Dee is offering these odds. I’ve not looked elsewhere to be honest.

1pt – Watford/Draw & Vata Over 1.5 Shots v Cardiff @ 2.05

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Brendan Dolan Over 3.5 180s v MVG

In Anon I trust. 4 World Championship tips. 4 Winners. At 6/5 that run is likely to be put to the test today, but Anon Darts Bets suggest the odds here should be much lower. 1.5 in fact.

Watching Brendan Dolan try to hit 180s can be a painful experience but if he can be competitive here and push this to 5 or 6 sets then time is on his side, and he only needs 4 after all.

He had 5 180s in 3 sets in Round 1. He’s actually won the last 2 meetings with MVG as well so he won’t be daunting coming into this contest.

Dee is offering the best odds. Snap it up.

2pts – Dolan Over 3.5 180s v MVG @ 2.2

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