Ben Coley and Matt Vincenzi have both tipped Bhatia this week although both put him up at bigger odds than are now available. Has the value gone? Is he still worth backing? There often lies the most difficult questions for punters.
It’s the nature of the game. If the top tipsters put up a confidence selection, the price will inevitable shorten. If we are always backing tips at lower odds, we might still lose money following the best tipsters.
All you can really do is take each selection on it’s own merit and decide whether you still want to back it or not. In this case, value or no value I did want some interest in this event for my own personal enjoyment, so Bhatia is the player I will be following.
He’s had some good recent form, 2nd in the Dunlop Phoenix, 3rd in the Grant Thornton pairs event and 4th in the Hero Challenge where he gained nearly 5 strokes in his approach play. He also ranks 1st on slow Bermuda greens in this field which is a nice stat from Matt
The two events he’s won on the PGA Tour were low scoring affairs and that is always the case at Kapalua. On his only previous visit here he was 2nd going into the final round.
If the outright price shortens, sometimes it’s best to play the smaller markets and that’s what I am doing here. 7.5 looks decent given his outright price has shorten to 28/1 at most bookies.
1pt The Sentry: Akshay Bhatia Top 5 Finish – 7.5 @ SpreadEx
