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Wallace Anytime Goalscorer v Sheffield Wednesday

The Championship

We have the worst team at defending set pieces against the most productive team from scoring from them this weekend.

Sheffield Wednesday have already conceded 5 goals to centre backs this campaign and their 12.75 xGA from dead ball situations is the worst in the Championship.

That’s good news for Millwall who have created 12.16 xG from free kicks and corners. So no big surprise the boys over at the Life are backing centre backs this weekend.

Wallace might be the 2nd best option here but I can get the top price on him scoring his 13 goal in the Championship. His previous dozen came in 240 appearances which represents odds just shy of 20/1. So when you factor in the opponents and their weakness, this has to be value right?

0.5pts – Murray Wallace to score v Sheffield Wednesday – 25/1 @ SkyBet

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Jimmy the Punt

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MORE BEST BETS

Diaz Anytime Goalscorer/2+ v Man United

This could be a tough afternoon for Man United who have seen their price for relegation tumble. Just when you thought it couldn’t get any worse.

Liverpool are flying and sitting pretty at the top of the table. 14 wins from their 18 Premier League games this season including 3 on the spin.

United on the other hand have lost 5 of their last 6 conceding 13 goals in the process. This selection comes from Betfair trader Emmett O’Keefe who shares picks on the podcast.

Diaz has recently been playing in the false 9 role and when adopting that position he’s scored 6 goals in 5 appearances. He bagged 2 recently in the high scoring win at Tottenham.

He also scored 3 in the Champions League win at home to Leverkusen. The second part of this bet also landed in the reverse fixture with Diaz scoring twice at Old Trafford. Best odds from Dee.

1pt – Diaz Anytime Goalscorer v Man United @ 2.4
0.5pts – Diaz to score 2 or more v Man United @ 8.5

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Sasa Lukic to be Carded v Ipswich

My favourite bet of the weekend. Mainly because the average odds across the grid on Lukic getting carded this weekend are 3.0. We can get a top price of 4.8. Ta very much.

He’s already been booked 7 times this season and averages 2.34 fouls per 90. Darren Bond is the referee dishing out a healthy 4.63 cards per game.

Credit to Jake Osgathorpe for posting this one. Bigger stakes for me. Hopefully the price holds up.

2pts – Lukic to be carded v Ipswich – 4.8 @ Live Score Bet

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Both Players to Average Over 100

Having watched plenty of the action in recent days I do fancy this bet to land. I can’t see either of them letting the occasion get to them. Littler now has a tournament average of 102.13 and has averaged over a ton 9 times already on this stage.

MVG is scoring well and both are hitting plenty of 180s which should go a long way towards this bet landing. In his 6 World Championship appearances to date MVG has averaged over 100 5 times.

The only time this bet lost was when he averaged 99.58 against Michael Smith.

Chris Hammer has recommended this bet and it’s his most confident selection in his in depth preview for SportingLife.

1pt – Both Players to Average Over 100 – 2.25 @ SkyBet

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