I’ve been following some of the best online tipsters for the past 5 months now! These are a group of tipsters who’s ROI stats generally fall somewhere between 10-20%. It’s fucking impressive.
But the reality is, whatever their stats tell you, you ain’t matching it!
If a tipster is pushing a ROI of 20% on their Social Media profiles then just be aware it doesn’t guarantee you’re going to clean up. Odds availability is a real issue in the industry. Bookmakers are interested in one thing, profit. The minute one of their lines start getting hammered, they lose their shit.
Traditionally bookmakers should have faith in their traders and trust the prices they’ve set, but that rarely happens these days. Instead bookmakers will simply adjust the odds and thus discourage punters from placing those bets.
Ben Coley is probably the easiest example to use here. A brilliant golf tipster with some mind boggling stats in recent years. The bookmakers know that Ben Coley is almost certainly going to beat them season upon season.
So the minute Coley puts up his selections, the bookmakers simply cut the prices. If Ben puts up a 200/1 shot, chances are, no matter how quick you are, you’ll be lucky to get anything bigger than 150/1.
It’s a problem across the board. The more tipsters you follow, the bigger the issue. I’m following around 20 tipsters right now. My phone is pinging left right and centre. I rarely get a break before the next notification pops up.
I’m not going to spend my entire life glued to my phone or computer screen just so I can win a few quid off the bookmakers. I do my best to place wagers as quickly as possible but there will be times I’ll be out with the missus, or gone for a run, or having a shit. By the time I’ve wiped my arse, the odds might be gone.
What’s the solution? It depends on the tipster and the odds movement. The more profitable the tipster (like Ben Coley) the more willing I’ll be to take lower odds.
I will generally only follow tipsters who boast a ROI of 10% or more. Anything less and I realise how difficult it will be to make a profit from their selections. My goal from any tipster is to try and make a ROI of 5% or more.
Looking at my current stats only 1 of my top 10 most used tipsters is making me a ROI of 10% or more.
Try and find the right tipsters for you. Some tipsters use the same bookmaker regardless of the odds to try and give their followers the best chance of matching their ROI.
There are others who will continue to use soft bookmakers to take advantage of the best odds, with little consideration as to whether their followers can get that price or not. These are the type of tipsters you want to be wary of.
Whoever you follow, just understand that odds availability is a real issue and one that is not going away. My general assumption is that whatever ROI a tipster is promoting, half it and that’s what you can expect to make.