Stick or Twist?

Twist baby! Let’s fucking do this. £20.07 returned from yesterdays easy winner and Navarro cruised past the error prone Osaka.

I’m going to round my bet down to £20 as betting an additional 7p could only raise a little bit of suspicion among the bookmakers growing team of account watchers (or nobheads as I like to call them).

Sticking with the Tennis today. I actually spent quite a bit of time reading the free tips available and had pretty much given up hope until I remembered Action Network.

Kenny Ducey is my man today. Let’s go Kenny. I’ve known about Kenny for a long time and there are not many tennis tipsters out there with his understand and knowledge of this beautiful game.

You only need to read his previews and insight to understand he knows exactly what he is talking about. I’ve opted for his tip on the Fils v Hurkacz match which is due on at 11am today.

.@KennyDucey breaks down his favorite futures plays for the men’s single draw at Wimbledon 🎾https://t.co/ULSFZ8L8zm

— Action Network Tennis (@ActionNetTennis) June 29, 2024

He fancies Fils to keep it close and cover the +4.5 handicap. He’s won 4 of his 6 grass court matches this year and whilst clay is probably his favourite surface, Kenny makes a good case for why his style of play is also well suited to the lower bouncing grass courts.

He served 15 Aces in Round 1, winning 80% of points behind his serve and only getting broken once. Serve is a key attribute to keeping matches close.

Hurkacz hasn’t always produced his best tennis in the Grand Slams and couldn’t cover the -4.5 handicap in Round 1, losing a set to a weaker opponent in Albot.

Andy Schooler has selected the 1st set tie break pointing out these two players have never met and it should be a close encounter. So that gives me more confidence.

As does the fact there is a sea of blue on oddshecker when I viewed this market. Is there much value here? I’m not sure, but given my change of approach, finding winners some days is also very important even if value will ultimately determine my long term profit.

Bet: Fils +4.5 v Hurkacz 2pts @ 1.83

Featured Image “Hurkacz at the 2018 Citi Open” by Keith Allison is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0.